Tag Archives: Mls Areas

Where Are The 2010 Livingston Parish Foreclosures Taking Place?

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gbrmlsWhere Are The 2010 Livingston Parish Foreclosures Taking Place? Livingston Parish Fore closure Trends: 2009 2010 Foreclosure Sales Numbers! 2010 Foreclosures total 13% of sales YTD; 2009 Foreclosures totaled 9%, an increase of +2% since 2009. 7% of all Livingston MLS Listings are Foreclosures! Foreclosures are negatively impacting this market. Where Are The Foreclosures Most Concentrated?

The chart below represents the number of recorded Livingston Parish REO or Foreclosure Sales within the Greater Baton Rouge MLS (Multiple Listing Service), with the exception of Manufactured Housing sales. Greater Baton Rouge MLS Areas for Livingston Parish are 80, 81, 82 and 83.

livingstonparishreoforeclosures

AREA 80 2010 FORECLOSURES. In Area 80 in 2010, there have been 17 solds. The vast majority of these foreclosure solds were “Rural” properties and 3 in Three Rivers Island.

AREA 81 2010 FORECLOSURES. In Area 81 in 2010, there have been 51 solds. These foreclosures were concentrated in Acadiana Place, Easterly Lakes, Gravesbriar, Hidden Oaks Condos, Linda Lee, Richmond Place, Watson Little Farms, Wisteria Place and Wolf Creek Place. Wisteria Place is no surprise to this appraiser for a development which has experienced marketing challenges since the beginning.

AREA 82 2010 FORECLOSURES. In Area 82 in 2010, there have been 21 solds. The vast majority of these foreclosure solds were “Rural” properties and 2 in Spring Lake. There were 1 each in Lakes at Fennwood, Lakeview Acres, Live Oak Landing, North Walker Estates, Park Place, Peaks Crossing, Shalimar and Tall Oaks.

AREA 83 2010 FORECLOSURES. In Area 83 in 2010, there have been 24 solds. These foreclosures were concentrated in Forest Ridge, Plantation Park, South Point, Westminister Estates and Woodland Crossing. There were 1 each in Carter Hills, The Cove, Falconcrest, Quail Run Acres, South Haven and Stone Hill.

Let’s put these foreclosure numbers into perspective! In 2009, there were a total of 1,193 sales. 103 foreclosure sales in 2009 represents 9% of total sales. In 2010, there have been a total of 877 sales. 113 foreclosure sales in 2010 as of 9/30/2010 represents 13% of total sales. The projected number of reo / fore closures at end of 2010 is approximately 143.

There’s A Major “Caveat” with the numbers below! Based on a 13% REO sold rate, which does appear to be an indication REOs are negatively impacting this market. It’s also stated here that an article (The Landmines Within by Michael Tarabotto http://activerain.com/blogsview/930436/The-Landmines-Within ) stated that as much as 70% of REOs never make it into the MLS – Meaning that it might be impossible to know or state the exact # of competing REOs if they’re not being listed and that the foreclosure problem could be larger if up to 70% of REOs aren’t being listed. MLS is reporting 71 current REO listings for all Livingston MLS Areas out of a total 962 total listings. So, 7% of all Livingston MLS Listings are Fore closures!

REO is “Real Estate Owned”!

greater-baton-rouge-association-of-realtors

Data used with permission of the GBRMLS. Search dates are 1/1/2009 to 10/16/2010. Extraction date was 10/16/2010.

Livingston Parish Foreclosure Trends: 2009 2010 Foreclosure Sales Numbers!

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http://www.denhamspringsappraisers.com/ – Livingston Parish Fore closure Trends: 2009 2010 Foreclosure Sales Numbers! 2010 Foreclosures total 13% of sales YTD; 2009 Foreclosures totaled 9%, an increase of +2% since 2009. 7% of all Livingston MLS Listings are Foreclosures! Foreclosures are negatively impacting this market. There’s A Major “Caveat” with the numbers below!

gbrmls

The chart below represents the number of recorded Livingston Parish REO or Foreclosure Sales within the Greater Baton Rouge MLS, with the exception of Manufactured Housing sales. GBRMLS Areas for Livingston Parish are 80, 81, 82 and 83.

livingstonparishreoforeclosures

Let’s put these foreclosure numbers into perspective! In 2009, there were a total of 1,193 sales. 103 foreclosure sales in 2009 represents 9% of total sales. In 2010, there have been a total of 877 sales. 113 foreclosure sales in 2010 as of 9/30/2010 represents 13% of total sales. The projected number of reo / fore closures at end of 2010 is approximately 143.

There’s A Major “Caveat” with the numbers below! Based on a 13% REO sold rate, which does appear to be an indication REOs are negatively impacting this market. It’s also stated here that an article (The Landmines Within by Michael Tarabotto http://activerain.com/blogsview/930436/The-Landmines-Within ) stated that as much as 70% of REOs never make it into the MLS – Meaning that it might be impossible to know or state the exact # of competing REOs if they’re not being listed and that the foreclosure problem could be larger if up to 70% of REOs aren’t being listed. MLS is reporting 71 current REO listings for all Livingston MLS Areas out of a total 962 total listings. So, 7% of all Livingston MLS Listings are Fore closures!

REO is “Real Estate Owned”!

greater-baton-rouge-association-of-realtors

Data used with permission of the GBRMLS. Search dates are 1/1/2009 to 10/16/2010. Extraction date was 10/16/2010.

Baton Rouge Area 2010 Home Sales Down 25% From September 2009, Detailed Report

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http://www.batonrougerealestatetrends.net/ – Greater Baton Rouge Area GBRMLS Monthly Observations for September 2010. Baton Rouge Area Real Estate 2010 Home Sales Down 25% From September 2009!

baton rouge real estate

baton rouge home sales downHome sales in September continued to decline, declining 3% to $89,770,774 in September from August’s $92,501,330. This is a decline of 18% from last September, at $116,614,434. As we head into the seasonally weaker part of the year, it is distressing to point out that this is the worst sales level for September in the last 8 years by a large margin with the exception of September 2008 and that decline was only due to Hurricane Gustav interfering with loan closings. Source: Baton Rouge Trends Dot Com.

NOTE: This report, with the paragraph above, may be different that others recent reports because I have included “Other” MLS areas.

volumesold

 

NOTE: This report, from this section below, may be different that others recent reports because I have included “West Baton Rouge” MLS Area 70, not just the 3 Parish areas of East Baton Rouge, Ascension and Livingston.

Total Sales Unchanged, But Off 25% From September 2009. Total unit sales were unchanged at 441 in September and 441 in August. However, this is a 25% reduction from September 2009 at 587. Of the 441 September sales, 104 were new homes and 337 were existing homes. New home sales improved 7% to 104 homes this month from 97 in August, an increase of 7 units. Existing home sales declined slightly from 337 homes in September from 346 last month, a difference of 9 homes or -2.6%. NOTE: Based on all price ranges within ASC, EBR, LIV and WBR for Property Types: DSF, ASF, PRC and PRA.

Majority of GBR Home Sales Under $200,000. Of the 441 September sales, only 22 of them were over $400,000 or approximately 5% of the market. There were 288 sales under $200,000 or 65% of market. And, there were 105 sales between $200,000 to $300,000 or approximately 24% of market.

Inventory Decreased Slightly. Inventory decreased slightly from August 2010 at 4461 to 4369 in September, a decrease of 92 or -2%. However, the inventory has increased from 3974 in September 2009 to 4369 in September 2010, an increase of 395 homes or +10%. Inventory started January 2010 at 3,583 and has continued to rise for most of 2010 with August of 4,461 being the highest inventory level of 2010.

baton rouge median sold prices since September 2009a

Absorption Rate Improved Slightly. Absorption for All homes in September showed 9.9 Months Inventory, which was a slight improvement from August 2010 showing 10.1 months of supply. This is much worse than the 6.8 months of supply last year at this time. Greater Baton Rouge area Average Days on Market for All homes was 89 compared to last month at 85. Average sales price for All Sold homes decreased to $194,941 from $199,289 last month. However, in January 2010, the average sales price was $188,188, so the average sales price has increased in 2010. Median sales price for All Sold homes decreased to $169,900 from $171,750 last month. However, in January 2010, the median sales price was $165,000, so the median sales price has increased overall for 2010. The twelve month moving median price line for both New and Existing homes is heading upward, reflecting stable home price support.

baton rouge houseHigh End Homes Market Appears Near Solid Support, Most Solid Within East Baton Rouge Parish. From 9/1/08 to 9/30/09, MLS reports 298 sales versus 294 sales 9/1/09 to 9/30/10, which is only a decrease of -4 sales or -1.3%. Average Sold Price for the 2009/2010 period is $539,650 compared to $548,036 for the 2008/2009 period. Median Sold Price for the 2009/2010 period is $500,000 compared to $495,700 for the 2008/2009 period. Average sold price per sq. ft. is $157.89/sf versus $159.43/sf for the 2008/2009 period. Average days on the market is 122 days versus 140 days in the 2008/2009 period. So, while the average sold price per sq. ft. is down $1.54/sf, and average sold price is down approx. $8,400, the median sales price has increased by $4,300 and the days on the market has improved.

Yes, There Are Certainly Exceptions! Copper Mill in Zachary is one example where the average sold prices were $161/sf in 2007, $158/sf in 2008, $157/sf in 2009 and $147/sf in 2010 based on 13 sales. That’s a $10/sf drop since 2009. Plus, the days on the market for the 13 sales were: 336, 850, 20, 274, 4, 393, 252, 1082, 50, 344, 197, 54 and 2. Renaissance in Prairieville is another example where the average sold prices were $137/sf in 2007, $141/sf in 2008, $133/sf in 2009 and $129.24/sf in 2010 based on 7 sales. That’s a -$4/sf difference between 2009 and 2010. And, MLS reports the average days on the market were 417 in 2009 and 252 in 2010. Actually, upon closer examination of total days on market, the actual continuous days on market were: 231, 1, 4, 561, 692, 1025 and 302. Greystone Golf in Denham Springs has only had 2 sales in 2010 averaging $142/sf and 6 sales in 2009 averaging $146/sf, a $4/sf decline. NOTE: For this paragraph, this includes all price ranges within these high end subdivisions.

High End Homes Market Absorption Rate Appears To Be Improving! The numbers of high end home listings has declined just slightly from 445 for September 2009 and 424 for September 2010. In September 2009, the Months Inventory showed 23.42 months. In September 2010, the Months Inventory showed 21.2 months and in August 2010 it was 19.4 months. Certainly, the market for homes requiring “Jumbo” loans remains slower in the overall Greater Baton Rouge market.

High End Homes Market NOTE: Parameters were $400,000 to $1,000,000, all price ranges within ASC, EBR, LIV and WBR for Property Types: DSF, ASF, PRC and PRA.

 

greater-baton-rouge-association-of-realtors

NOTE: Data For The September 2010 GBRAR MLS Report is used with permission of the GBRMLS from dates stated above and from 1/1/2008 through 9/30/2010.

Western Livingston Parish Home Appraisers: August 2010 Market Data

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http://www.denhamspringsappraisers.com/ - Western Livingston Parish Home Appraisers: August 2010 Market Data

western-livingston-parish-home-appraisers

The August 2010 housing numbers are in from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of Realtors from 8/1/2010 to 8/31/2010 and from 8/1/2009 to 8/31/2010, extracted on 9/16/2010.

 

Livingston Parish August 2010 Market Data
(For MLS Areas 80, 81, 82 & 83)

Total Monthly Sales: 56 (Lowest Number Of Sales In Period)

Average Listing Price: $164,295 ($162,914 in 8/2009)
Average Sold Price: $161,018 ($160,232 in 8/2009)
Median Sold Price: $140,900 ($152,500 in 8/2009)
Average Days On The Market: 92 (85 in 8/2009)
Listing To Sales Price Ratio: 98% (98.3% in 8/2009)
Current Inventory: 811 (703 in 8/2009)
Months of Inventory: 14.5 (Longest In Period, 5.9 in 8/2009)

western-livingston-parish-housing


Annual View From 8/2009 to 8/2010:

Total Monthly Sales: 1210

Average Listing Price: $167,849
Average Sold Price: $164,948
Median Sold Price: $152,147
Average Days On The Market: 90
Listing To Sales Price Ratio: 98.3%
Average Current Inventory: 719
Average Months of Inventory: 7.1

greater-baton-rouge-housing-market-wrap

Accurate Valuations Group’s “MARKET WRAP”:

NUMBER OF HOME SALES DECLINES. Based on these numbers, home sales are slowing considerably from 120 in August 2009, 109 in June 2010, 83 in July 2010 to just 56 in August 2010, a decline of -53% since August 2009.

LOCAL HOUSING INVENTORY SWELLS. With the number of home sales declining, this resulted in an increase to over 14 months of inventory. The good news is that in August, it still took an average days on the market of 92 days to sell a home.

MEDIAN SALES PRICE DECLINE. The median sales price declined sharply from $152,500 in August 2009, $149,000 in June 2010, $155,000 in July 2010 to just $140,900 in August 2010, a decline of -7.6% since August 2009. This shows that this market continues to favor the more affordable housing options over that of the higher end homes market. Area home builders have reacted and are building smaller homes to accomodate this market demand.

WHY WE USE MEDIAN SALES PRICE OVER AVERAGE SALES PRICE? NOTE: Why Median Sales Price is a better indicator than Average Sales Price! Median Sales Price is the barometer by which the National Association of Realtors uses to report on national housing markets. Average Sales Price tends to take all of the home sales prices from the lowest, say $50,000, to the highest, say $1,000,000, and state the average of them all, sometimes skewing the numbers because of the extreme highs and lows. Median Sales Price tends to focus more on the middle of where the bulk of home sales prices are taking place. Generally, the Average Sales Price is going to be higher because it includes the extreme high sales prices in a given market.

Denham Springs FHA Appraisers Study: Livingston Parish Housing Bucks National Trend Plunge Of 15 Year Lows

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http://www.denhamspringsappraisers.com/ - Denham Springs FHA Appraisers Study: Livingston Parish Housing Bucks National Trend Plunge Of 15 Year Lows!

This morning, “The Guys” from TBWS reported existing home sale fell 27.2%, the lowest number of sales since 1968, see the video below.

tbws

 

denham-springs-home-salesThe Baton Rouge Business Report is reporting on a National Assocation of Realtors housing study and I quote: “Sales of previously occupied homes fell to the lowest level in 15 years last month as the economy weakened. The National Association of Realtors says July’s sales fell by more than 27% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.83 million. It was the largest monthly drop on records dating back to 1968. June’s sales pace was revised downward to 5.26 million. Home sales picked up in the spring when the government was offering tax credits. But the market has struggled since the tax credits expired on April 30. It would take 12.5 months to sell off the 4 million unsold homes on the market at the current sales pace. The median sale price was $182,600, up 0.7 percent from a year ago.” I have included three charts below from Mortgage News Daily’s July Existing Home Sales: Recap and Charts to help put this in perspective. I then discuss the local Baton Rouge Housing Market Numbers.

8 24 SFDEHS

 

8 24 EHS MONTHS OF SUPPLY

8 24 EHS PRICE LOCAL

 

While the NAR study covers the entire U.S., how do the local Western Livingston Parish housing sales numbers compare? By Western Livingston Parish, I’m defining Denham Springs, Watson and Walker, MLS Areas 81, 82 and 83, the more active portion of Livingston Parish. The answer is that I see Western Livingston bucking the national trend. Within the Greater Baton Rouge Association of Realtors data extracted from 1999 through August 25, 2010, covering almost 12 total years, the lowest yearly rate of home sales was in 1999 with 759. As of 8/25/2010, there have been 654 home sales. If this pace of home sales continues, 2010 projections will be approximately 980 sales, which would conclude a healty housing market.

denham-springs-appraisers-housing-study

The chart below, extracted from data from the GBRMLS on August 20, 2010, shows that the median sales price in MLS Area 81, Denham Springs north of Interstate 12, has continued to remain stable to increasing slightly. The chart actually shows an increase in median sales price from 8/2009 to 8/2010 of +3.49%. The chart also shows a fairly low 7.4% REO or Foreclosure Rate for this market as well, 235 foreclosures out of 3,175 homes sales since 1/1/2004.

denham-springs-housing-market-charts

HOWEVER

smarttrends

I want to responsibly point out that just because the NATIONAL “number” of home sales have been declining in 2010 doesn’t mean the LOCAL “housing prices” are equally declining significantly! And, this is an important point. As a home appraiser, the one thing I hear from local homeowners is a misunderstanding of the local market. They say things to me like, “I know this is a horrible time to be refinancing and getting an appraisal with the housing market the way it is, but we just couldn’t pass up the low mortgage rate”. I hear this constantly from locals and you can’t watch the national news and apply that to our local market. Linda Fredericks, former President of the Greater Baton Rouge Association of Realtors, is correct when she delivered the message that housing marketings are “local” and you can’t apply the national news headlines to a one size fits all local housing market!

 

Take The Baton Rouge Business ReportPoll: When will the U.S. housing market recover? So far results are:

baton-rouge-business-report-poll

 

 

NOTE: Data Used With Permission of the GBRAR MLS. Data was extracted on 8/25/2010 from periods 1/1/2009 through 8/25/2010.

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Western Livingston Parish Housing Market In July 2010 Bucks National Trend Plunge To 15 Year Lows

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http://www.batonrougerealestatebuzz.com/ - July 2010 U.S. Home Sales Plunge To 15-Year Low, How Does Western Livingston Parish Compare?

This morning, “The Guys” from TBWS reported existing home sale fell 27.2%, the lowest number of sales since 1968, see the video below.

tbws

 

denham-springs-home-salesThe Baton Rouge Business Report is reporting on a National Assocation of Realtors housing study and I quote: “Sales of previously occupied homes fell to the lowest level in 15 years last month as the economy weakened. The National Association of Realtors says July’s sales fell by more than 27% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.83 million. It was the largest monthly drop on records dating back to 1968. June’s sales pace was revised downward to 5.26 million. Home sales picked up in the spring when the government was offering tax credits. But the market has struggled since the tax credits expired on April 30. It would take 12.5 months to sell off the 4 million unsold homes on the market at the current sales pace. The median sale price was $182,600, up 0.7 percent from a year ago.” I have included three charts below from Mortgage News Daily’s July Existing Home Sales: Recap and Charts to help put this in perspective. I then discuss the local Baton Rouge Housing Market Numbers.

8 24 SFDEHS

 

8 24 EHS MONTHS OF SUPPLY

8 24 EHS PRICE LOCAL

 

While the NAR study covers the entire U.S., how do the local Western Livingston Parish housing sales numbers compare? By Western Livingston Parish, I’m defining Denham Springs, Watson and Walker, MLS Areas 81, 82 and 83, the more active portion of Livingston Parish. The answer is that I see Western Livingston bucking the national trend. Within the Greater Baton Rouge Association of Realtors data extracted from 1999 through August 25, 2010, covering almost 12 total years, the lowest yearly rate of home sales was in 1999 with 759. As of 8/25/2010, there have been 654 home sales. If this pace of home sales continues, 2010 projections will be approximately 980 sales, which would conclude a healty housing market.

denham-springs-appraisers-housing-study

The chart below, extracted from data from the GBRMLS on August 20, 2010, shows that the median sales price in MLS Area 81, Denham Springs north of Interstate 12, has continued to remain stable to increasing slightly. The chart actually shows an increase in median sales price from 8/2009 to 8/2010 of +3.49%. The chart also shows a fairly low 7.4% REO or Foreclosure Rate for this market as well, 235 foreclosures out of 3,175 homes sales since 1/1/2004.

greater-baton-rouge-housing-market-charts

HOWEVER

smarttrends

I want to responsibly point out that just because the NATIONAL “number” of home sales have been declining in 2010 doesn’t mean the LOCAL “housing prices” are equally declining significantly! And, this is an important point. As a home appraiser, the one thing I hear from local homeowners is a misunderstanding of the local market. They say things to me like, “I know this is a horrible time to be refinancing and getting an appraisal with the housing market the way it is, but we just couldn’t pass up the low mortgage rate”. I hear this constantly from locals and you can’t watch the national news and apply that to our local market. Linda Fredericks, former President of the Greater Baton Rouge Association of Realtors, is correct when she delivered the message that housing marketings are “local” and you can’t apply the national news headlines to a one size fits all local housing market!

 

Take The Baton Rouge Business ReportPoll: When will the U.S. housing market recover? So far results are:

baton-rouge-business-report-poll

 

 

NOTE: Data Used With Permission of the GBRAR MLS. Data was extracted on 8/25/2010 from periods 1/1/2009 through 8/25/2010.

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Livingston Parish Homes Sales Report For March 2010

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http://www.denhamspringsappraisers.com/ – Livingston Parish Homes Sales Report For March 2010. Below are compiled comparisons of Livingston Parish, MLS Areas 80, 81, 82 and 83, Detached Single Family Homes, based on March 2010, February 2010 and March 2009 numbers.

denhamspringslarealestate dot net

By Monthly Home Sales Comparison. March Monthly Sales were 87 home sales. For February 2010, there were only 77 sales, which represents a March increase of 13%. Comparison of March 2009 vs. March 2010? There were 90 sales in March 2009, which means a small decrease of 3%.

By Average Sales Price Comparison. Average Sold Price was $159,377. Comparison to February 2010: Decreased slightly 1% from $160,746. Comparison of March 2009 vs. March 2010: Decreased 5.76% from $169,115.

By Median Sales Price Comparison. (Which This Appraiser Believes Is A Much More Accurate Indicator). Median Sold Price was $150,000. February 2010 was also $150,000. Comparison of March 2009 vs. March 2010: Decreased 3.54% from $155,500.

Current Inventory or Number Of Homes On The Market. Current “Months Inventory” is 7.59 months. In February 2010 it was 8.35 months, which means we’re better in March 2010. In March 2009, there was a 6.24 months supply.

Average Time It Took To Sell A Home? In March 2010, it took 110 days. In February 2010 it took 106 days and in March 2009 it took 91 days.

What Price Range Had The Most Home Sales? In March, the price range experiencing the most sales was the $130,000 to $139,999 range. Same for February 2010 as well. And, same for March 2009 as well.

livingston parish march 2010 home sales

 

NOTE: Based on Detached Single Family Solds in MLS Areas 80, 81, 82 & 83 information from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS\MLS for the period 03/01/2010 through 03/31/2010. This information was extracted on 04/21/2010.